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Racing Vic Handicapper Carpenter Begins Carnival Blog
Racing Victoria announced chief handicapper Greg Carpenter "will be penning a weekly blog on the Racing Victoria website throughout the Melbourne Festival Of Racing". In Carpenter's 1st blog, he considers the burning question: "What weight will Black Caviar get in the Gr1 Newmarket Handicap?" Carpenter notes: "There is a general consensus that Black Caviar will be opposed by a small but select field in the Gr1 Lightning Stakes on 19 February, with the bulk of the sprinting population seemingly intent on contesting the Gr1 Oakleigh Plate & then willing to roll the dice against the World's Champion Sprinter of 2010 in the Newmarket under handicap conditions, when she will not have the same weight advantage she enjoys when contesting WFA races." After explaining a series of key criteria, Carpenter goes on to reveal: "The answer we have been giving to everyone who has asked about Black Caviar's likely weight in the Newmarket is that, as things currently stand, she would receive 57.5kg. What will have the greatest impact between now & the actual release of weights is the result of the Lightning Stakes & the Oakleigh Plate. If Black Caviar was to record another dominant victory in the Lightning, there is every likelihood her domestic handicap rating would be reviewed upward from its current mark of 118." To read Carpenter's full analysis, click on the link in The Great Debate panel on the right-hand-side of this page.