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Predictive Algorithm Launched for 2YO in Training Sales

Thursday, 9th March 2017

Performance Genetics, a leading thoroughbred analytics and performance evaluation company, has announced the launch of its two year old in training sale site BreezeUpIQ.com. BreezeUpIQ.com uses the latest in machine learning algorithms - specifically XGBoost - to develop a predictive algorithm to select elite horses from two-year-old in training sales. "This project is the culmination of years of work, gathering data at major two year old in training sales across North America and Europe and using racetrack outcomes to develop a predictive algorithm for two year old in training sales. In all, I have data on just over 6,000 horses that subsequently had 3 or more starts so are valid records to create a prediction algorithm on," said Byron Rogers of Performance Genetics. "The algorithm normalizes a breeze and gallop out for the sex and distance breezed and using other variables such as velocity, decay, stride length and strides per second it is able to capture both linear and non-linear relationships in the data to elite performance making it a unique player in the two year old sales market." Current plans will see the algorithm used at the upcoming OBS March 2YO Sale and major two year old sales in North America with plans to roll out the service at European two year old sales this year.

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